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Temporally structured metapopulation dynamics and persistence of influenza A H3N2 virus in humans.

Identifieur interne : 000061 ( 1957/Analysis ); précédent : 000060; suivant : 000062

Temporally structured metapopulation dynamics and persistence of influenza A H3N2 virus in humans.

Auteurs : Justin Bahl [République populaire de Chine] ; Martha I. Nelson [États-Unis] ; Kwok H. Chan [République populaire de Chine] ; Rubing Chen [États-Unis] ; Dhanasekaran Vijaykrishna [République populaire de Chine] ; Rebecca A. Halpin [États-Unis] ; Timothy B. Stockwell [États-Unis] ; Xudong Lin [États-Unis] ; David E. Wentworth [États-Unis] ; Elodie Ghedin [États-Unis] ; Yi Guan [République populaire de Chine] ; J. S. Malik Peiris [République populaire de Chine] ; Steven Riley [République populaire de Chine] ; Andrew Rambaut [États-Unis] ; Edward C. Holmes [États-Unis] ; Gavin J D. Smith [République populaire de Chine]

Source :

RBID : Hal:pasteur-00641958

Abstract

Populations of seasonal influenza virus experience strong annual bottlenecks that pose a considerable extinction risk. It has been suggested that an influenza source population located in tropical Southeast or East Asia seeds annual temperate epidemics. Here we investigate the seasonal dynamics and migration patterns of influenza A H3N2 virus by analysis of virus samples obtained from 2003 to 2006 from Australia, Europe, Japan, New York, New Zealand, Southeast Asia, and newly sequenced viruses from Hong Kong. In contrast to annual temperate epidemics, relatively low levels of relative genetic diversity and no seasonal fluctuations characterized virus populations in tropical Southeast Asia and Hong Kong. Bayesian phylogeographic analysis using discrete temporal and spatial characters reveal high rates of viral migration between urban centers tested. Although the virus population that migrated between Southeast Asia and Hong Kong persisted through time, this was dependent on virus input from temperate regions and these tropical regions did not maintain a source for annual H3N2 influenza epidemics. We further show that multiple lineages may seed annual influenza epidemics, and that each region may function as a potential source population. We therefore propose that the global persistence of H3N2 influenza A virus is the result of a migrating metapopulation in which multiple different localities may seed seasonal epidemics in temperate regions in a given year. Such complex global migration dynamics may confound control efforts and contribute to the emergence and spread of antigenic variants and drug-resistant viruses.


Url:
DOI: 10.1073/pnas.1109314108


Affiliations:


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Hal:pasteur-00641958

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<author>
<name sortKey="Holmes, Edward C" sort="Holmes, Edward C" uniqKey="Holmes E" first="Edward C" last="Holmes">Edward C. Holmes</name>
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<author>
<name sortKey="Smith, Gavin J D" sort="Smith, Gavin J D" uniqKey="Smith G" first="Gavin J D" last="Smith">Gavin J D. Smith</name>
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<hal:affiliation type="laboratory" xml:id="struct-161290" status="INCOMING">
<orgName>State Key Laboratory of Emerging Infectious Diseases & Department of Microbiology</orgName>
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<orgName>The University of Hong Kong</orgName>
<orgName type="acronym">HKU</orgName>
<desc>
<address>
<addrLine>Pokfulam, Hong Kong</addrLine>
<country key="HK"></country>
</address>
<ref type="url">http://www.hku.hk/</ref>
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<orgName>Li Ka Shing Faculty of Medicine</orgName>
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</analytic>
<idno type="DOI">10.1073/pnas.1109314108</idno>
<series>
<title level="j">Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America </title>
<idno type="ISSN">0027-8424</idno>
<imprint>
<date type="datePub">2011-11-14</date>
</imprint>
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</teiHeader>
<front>
<div type="abstract" xml:lang="en">
<p>Populations of seasonal influenza virus experience strong annual bottlenecks that pose a considerable extinction risk. It has been suggested that an influenza source population located in tropical Southeast or East Asia seeds annual temperate epidemics. Here we investigate the seasonal dynamics and migration patterns of influenza A H3N2 virus by analysis of virus samples obtained from 2003 to 2006 from Australia, Europe, Japan, New York, New Zealand, Southeast Asia, and newly sequenced viruses from Hong Kong. In contrast to annual temperate epidemics, relatively low levels of relative genetic diversity and no seasonal fluctuations characterized virus populations in tropical Southeast Asia and Hong Kong. Bayesian phylogeographic analysis using discrete temporal and spatial characters reveal high rates of viral migration between urban centers tested. Although the virus population that migrated between Southeast Asia and Hong Kong persisted through time, this was dependent on virus input from temperate regions and these tropical regions did not maintain a source for annual H3N2 influenza epidemics. We further show that multiple lineages may seed annual influenza epidemics, and that each region may function as a potential source population. We therefore propose that the global persistence of H3N2 influenza A virus is the result of a migrating metapopulation in which multiple different localities may seed seasonal epidemics in temperate regions in a given year. Such complex global migration dynamics may confound control efforts and contribute to the emergence and spread of antigenic variants and drug-resistant viruses.</p>
</div>
</front>
</TEI>
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<country>
<li>République populaire de Chine</li>
<li>États-Unis</li>
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<noRegion>
<name sortKey="Bahl, Justin" sort="Bahl, Justin" uniqKey="Bahl J" first="Justin" last="Bahl">Justin Bahl</name>
</noRegion>
<name sortKey="Chan, Kwok H" sort="Chan, Kwok H" uniqKey="Chan K" first="Kwok H" last="Chan">Kwok H. Chan</name>
<name sortKey="Guan, Yi" sort="Guan, Yi" uniqKey="Guan Y" first="Yi" last="Guan">Yi Guan</name>
<name sortKey="Malik Peiris, J S" sort="Malik Peiris, J S" uniqKey="Malik Peiris J" first="J. S." last="Malik Peiris">J. S. Malik Peiris</name>
<name sortKey="Riley, Steven" sort="Riley, Steven" uniqKey="Riley S" first="Steven" last="Riley">Steven Riley</name>
<name sortKey="Smith, Gavin J D" sort="Smith, Gavin J D" uniqKey="Smith G" first="Gavin J D" last="Smith">Gavin J D. Smith</name>
<name sortKey="Vijaykrishna, Dhanasekaran" sort="Vijaykrishna, Dhanasekaran" uniqKey="Vijaykrishna D" first="Dhanasekaran" last="Vijaykrishna">Dhanasekaran Vijaykrishna</name>
</country>
<country name="États-Unis">
<noRegion>
<name sortKey="Nelson, Martha I" sort="Nelson, Martha I" uniqKey="Nelson M" first="Martha I" last="Nelson">Martha I. Nelson</name>
</noRegion>
<name sortKey="Chen, Rubing" sort="Chen, Rubing" uniqKey="Chen R" first="Rubing" last="Chen">Rubing Chen</name>
<name sortKey="Ghedin, Elodie" sort="Ghedin, Elodie" uniqKey="Ghedin E" first="Elodie" last="Ghedin">Elodie Ghedin</name>
<name sortKey="Halpin, Rebecca A" sort="Halpin, Rebecca A" uniqKey="Halpin R" first="Rebecca A" last="Halpin">Rebecca A. Halpin</name>
<name sortKey="Holmes, Edward C" sort="Holmes, Edward C" uniqKey="Holmes E" first="Edward C" last="Holmes">Edward C. Holmes</name>
<name sortKey="Lin, Xudong" sort="Lin, Xudong" uniqKey="Lin X" first="Xudong" last="Lin">Xudong Lin</name>
<name sortKey="Rambaut, Andrew" sort="Rambaut, Andrew" uniqKey="Rambaut A" first="Andrew" last="Rambaut">Andrew Rambaut</name>
<name sortKey="Stockwell, Timothy B" sort="Stockwell, Timothy B" uniqKey="Stockwell T" first="Timothy B" last="Stockwell">Timothy B. Stockwell</name>
<name sortKey="Wentworth, David E" sort="Wentworth, David E" uniqKey="Wentworth D" first="David E" last="Wentworth">David E. Wentworth</name>
</country>
</tree>
</affiliations>
</record>

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   |wiki=    Sante
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   |texte=   Temporally structured metapopulation dynamics and persistence of influenza A H3N2 virus in humans.
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